Conclusions. Ballot stuffing – from suspicion to prevention
Gábor Tóka, Raluca Toma We waded into the murky waters of electoral statistics in order to figure out whether we can prove anything suspect is going on with the vote on the supplementary list. We...
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Part 4. Bonus feature: tell me what you want to prove and I tell you what to...
Gábor Tóka, Raluca Toma So far in our statistical investigation we have looked at the numbers from various angles, without finding any real evidence for widespread ballot stuffing by one side or the...
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Part 3. Surprising results. Red flags or red herrings?
Gábor Tóka, Raluca Toma In the previous section, we used a regression analysis to try to find any suspect patterns in how the supplementary lists impacted the vote share of Victor Ponta and Klaus...
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Part 2. A finer analysis of the vote. Did the supplementary lists make a...
Gábor Tóka, Raluca Toma We started this investigation with two main questions: Is there anything seemingly aberrant about the temporary votes cast in the 2014 election, something that might point to...
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Part 1. Dissecting the supplementary list vote. Suspicions versus facts
Gábor Tóka, Raluca Toma Known knowns and known unknowns During the first round of the 2014 presidential elections, 965,022 citizens – 10.09% of those who cast their ballots inside the country – voted...
View ArticleThe Romanian riddle of the supplementary list vote
Gábor Tóka, Raluca Toma Can numbers tell us if any of the parties engaged in ballot stuffing? In the 2014 Romanian presidential elections, about 10 percent of those who went to the polls within...
View ArticleConclusions. Ballot stuffing – from suspicion to prevention
We waded into the murky waters of electoral statistics in order to figure out whether we can prove anything suspect is going on with the vote on the supplementary list. We wanted to find out the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Part 4. Bonus feature: tell me what you want to prove and I tell you what to...
So far in our statistical investigation we have looked at the numbers from various angles, without finding any real evidence for widespread ballot stuffing by one side or the other, via the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Part 3. Surprising results. Red flags or red herrings?
In the previous section, we used a regression analysis to try to find any suspect patterns in how the supplementary lists impacted the vote share of Victor Ponta and Klaus Iohannis. We also found a few...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Part 2. A finer analysis of the vote. Did the supplementary lists make a...
We started this investigation with two main questions: Is there anything seemingly aberrant about the temporary votes cast in the 2014 election, something that might point to ballot-stuffing? Does the...
View ArticleClik here to view.
Part 1. Dissecting the supplementary list vote. Suspicions versus facts
Known knowns and known unknowns During the first round of the 2014 presidential elections, 965,022 citizens – 10.09% of those who cast their ballots inside the country – voted at a different polling...
View ArticleThe Romanian riddle of the supplementary list vote
Can numbers tell us if any of the parties engaged in ballot stuffing? In the 2014 Romanian presidential elections, about 10 percent of those who went to the polls within Romania did so “on...
View ArticleWhy has TVR become broke and obsolete?
The answer resides mainly in understanding the institutional causes that hinder TVR to fulfil its mission as a public informative television, addressing a wide audience and the editorial independence...
View ArticleThe Radio – TV Tax, a Secondary Problem?
On the question whether the cancelation of the radio-TV license fee is opportune, Median Research Centre (MRC) would answer “Now definitely not, while in the future it would be opportune only if there...
View ArticleScrisoare de susținere pentru CEU Budapesta
To: Dr. László Kövér, Speaker of the National Assembly CC: orbanviktor@orbanviktor.hu, erkeztetok@me.gov.hu, Support_for_CEU@ceu.edu Re: Letter of support for CEU from the Median Research Centre,...
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Who will make the second round of the Romanian presidential election? What...
Before the first round of the Presidential Elections next Sunday, this article aims to provide an overview of the published public opinion poll results. There is no doubt that current president Klaus...
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How accurate were the polls before the first round of the Romanian...
In this article I compare the pre-election polling data with the vote share each candidate received to assess how accurate polls were before the first round of the presidential elections. I compare the...
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